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    What is trading?


    1. Home
    2. Alpari Academy
    3. Macro and news digestion workflows
    *
    Trading is risky. Your capital is at risk.

    CROSS-CUTTING: COURSE 1 | LESSON 4

    Macro and news digestion workflows

    Learning objectives

    1. Build a repeatable "paste-then-digest" workflow for economic calendars, central bank statements and news.

    2. Use diff-style prompts to extract what actually changed between two policy statements.

    3. Apply the source-verification pass that keeps digested research from smuggling hallucinations into your plan.

    The problem: too much text, too little time

    A serious trading week generates a reading pile nobody finishes: the economic calendar, two or three central bank communications, rate decisions, inflation prints, a dozen analyst notes. Most traders respond in one of two bad ways — skip it all and trade blind, or skim headlines and mistake vibes for analysis.

    AI assistants are genuinely excellent at this problem, with one giant caveat that should be reflexive by now: the model has no idea what happened this week until you paste it in. A knowledge cutoff (Lesson X1.1) means "summarise this week's macro picture" without pasted material produces a confident essay about some past week, dressed as the present. The whole workflow rests on one rule:

    Never ask an AI what's happening. Give it what's happening and ask it to organise it.

    You are the data pipeline. The AI is the processing plant.

    Workflow 1 — the morning calendar briefing

    Each morning (or Sunday for the week), copy the day's rows from a reliable economic calendar — time, currency, event, forecast, previous — and paste them with a digestion prompt:

    Example prompt: "You are a macro briefing assistant for a retail FX trader. You never predict outcomes or direction. Below is today's economic calendar (times in GMT+4). Tasks: (1) rank the events by likely relevance to EUR/USD, GBP/USD and XAU/USD — the pairs I follow; (2) for each of the top three, explain in two lines what the event measures and what the forecast-vs-previous gap means; (3) flag any time windows where I have an event on both sides of a pair; (4) end with 'events NOT in this data that commonly matter' so I can check whether my calendar export missed anything. Use only the rows I pasted; if forecast or previous is blank, say 'not provided'."
    Condensed example response: "Top relevance: 1) 16:30 US CPI (forecast 2.9% y/y vs previous 3.1%) — affects all three pairs; a print far from 2.9% is the day's main volatility risk. 2) 12:00 German factory orders… 3) … Two-sided window: 16:30 US CPI lands 90 minutes after the UK speech — GBP/USD has event risk on both currencies between 15:00 and 17:00. Not in your data but commonly relevant: weekly US jobless claims (Thursdays), any scheduled ECB speakers — check your source included them."

    That last section is a deliberately clever prompt trick: instead of letting the model invent events (hallucination), you channel its background knowledge into a checklist for auditing your own export. Its memory becomes a safety net rather than a fact source.

    What this briefing is not: a forecast. "CPI is the day's main volatility risk" is scheduling information. "CPI will come in hot, buy dollars" is a prediction — and if your AI produces sentences like that, your prompt is missing its guard rails.

    Workflow 2 — the statement diff

    Central bank statements are written to be compared. Markets move on changes between one statement and the next — a dropped phrase, a softened adjective. Diffing two statements by eye is miserable; for an LLM it's a core competency.

    Paste both statements (current and previous, from the central bank's own website — not a news summary of them) and ask:

    "Compare these two statements. List every substantive change — added, removed or reworded sentences — as a table: 'Previous wording' / 'Current wording' / 'One-line note on why an FX trader might care'. Quote wording exactly. If a change is cosmetic, put it in a separate 'cosmetic' list. Do not speculate about future policy. Do not tell me what the market will do."

    Then run the grounding check from Lesson X1.2 on two or three of the quoted changes: search the pasted documents for the exact wording. If a "quote" isn't there verbatim, discard that row and downgrade your trust in the rest. When quotes check out, you've compressed forty minutes of squinting into five minutes of verification.

    The same diff pattern works on inflation report summaries, rate-decision press releases, and your own broker's margin-requirement notices before big events.

    Workflow 3 — the article distiller

    For analyst notes and news articles, digest with role separation between reporting and opinion:

    "Summarise this article in this exact structure: (1) Facts asserted — with the figures as written; (2) Opinions and forecasts — attributed to whoever holds them; (3) What the article does NOT address. Keep the author's numbers exactly as written; do not add numbers of your own."

    Section 2 matters most. News digestion goes wrong when a journalist's forecast ("analysts expect the pair to test 1.10") launders itself into your head as a fact. Forcing the fact/opinion split keeps forecasts labelled as somebody's opinion — which is all they ever were. And section 3 trains you to notice what a persuasive article conveniently skipped.

    The verification pass, adapted for digestion

    Digested research feels safer than raw AI generation because "the AI only summarised". Don't relax. Summarisation has its own failure modes: dropped negations ("not expected to cut" → "expected to cut"), merged numbers, and invented smoothing between bullet points. Before anything reaches your trading plan:

    1. Numbers: every figure in the digest exists in the pasted source, unchanged.
    2. Quotes: verbatim-searchable in the source.
    3. Negations: for any summary line that would change your bias, reread the original sentence. Two minutes, and it's where the worst errors hide.
    4. Recency: the source you pasted is actually current — the AI can't check the date's plausibility for you.

    Ten minutes total for a morning briefing plus a statement diff, versus an hour of unstructured reading — that's the honest value proposition. Not better predictions. More organised inputs, faster, with the thinking still yours.

    The reusable versions

    The skills library packages these workflows: Morning Macro Briefing (skills/morning-macro-briefing.md) for workflow 1 and Economic Event Explainer (skills/economic-event-explainer.md) for understanding individual releases in depth. Copy once, paste data daily.

    Key takeaways

    1. The model doesn't know what happened this week — you paste the calendar, statements and articles in; it organises, never sources.

    2. Statement diffs ("list every change, quote exactly") are the highest-value macro prompt: markets move on changes, and LLMs diff text superbly.

    3. Channel the model's stale memory into audit checklists ("what's commonly relevant that's NOT in this data?") instead of letting it state facts.

    4. Force the fact/opinion split when digesting articles so forecasts stay labelled as opinions.

    5. Verify numbers, quotes and especially negations against the pasted source — summarisation errors are quieter than hallucinations but just as costly.

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